PROTECT THESE SEATS
Democratic Seats at Risk
Why You Should Consider Contributing to These Races
Democratic Incumbents to Defend
If you are looking to contribute to help Democrats secure the House of Representatives, P4D has done some research to help you decide where to spend your money. In these races the Democratic seat is at risk.
To Contribute to These Candidates, Click Here.
Colorado 8 – YADIRA CARAVEO (D)* v. Gabe Evans. Colorado’s 8th Congressional District was newly added following the 2020 census. It is considered to be without a partisan tilt, voting almost identically to the national elections. It encompasses the area north of Denver to Greeley including parts of Larimer, Adams and Weld counties, and is 38.5% Hispanic, the most in any Colorado district. Yadiro Caraveo, a former state legislator and pediatrician, won the 2022 election with 48.4% of the vote, to her Republican opponent’s 47.7%. President Biden carried the district by 4.7%. As of June 30, Caraveo reported $3.46 million cash on hand, while the Republican, Gabe Evans, reported only $505,000. But Evens had just come through a contested primary, and because of the nature and short history of the district, the Republicans are targeting it, so his coffers are surely replenishing quickly.
Michigan 7 — CURTIS HERTEL (D) v. Tom Barrett (R). This is an open seat; the incumbent Democrat, Elissa Slotkin, is running for the Senate. The district includes the state capital, Lansing, and the surrounding counties. It is an R+2 district, meaning that it tilts slightly Republican in its voting habits compared to the nation as a whole. Had the current lines been in effect in 2020, President Biden would have won it by .5%, 49.4% to 48.9%. Hertel is a former state senator and Gov. Gretchen Whitmer’s director of legislative affairs. The Republican candidate, Tom Barrett, a former state legislator, won his primary on August 6. This district is generally considered to be a tossup for the November election. As of the mid-July, pre-primary reporting, Hertel showed $3.281 million cash on hand; Barrett reported $1.2 million.
Michigan 8 – KRISTEN McDONALD RIVET (D) v. Paul Junge (R). Michigan 8 is an open seat, currently held by Democrat Dan Kildee, who is not seeking reelection. This Central Michigan district includes the cities of Flint, Saginaw, Midland and Bay City. It tilts slightly Republican, R+1, despite Kildee having been elected to Congress six times; President Biden would have beaten Trump, 50.3% to 48.2%. Rivet, the Democratic candidate is a state senator in her first term; Junge, the Republican is a former local Fox news anchor, who previously ran twice for this seat in congress (and lost). This is a tossup that the Republicans would like very much to flip. Both candidates won primaries on August 6. As of July 17, Rivet had $805,000 in the bank, while Junge had $332,00.
North Carolina 1 – DON DAVIS (D)* v. Laurie Buckhout. North Carolina’s 1st congressional district is most likely the only competitive district in the state following last year’s redistricting. Rated R+1, it is considered a tossup by most knowledgeable observers. Located in the northeastern section of the state bordering on Virginia, it contains a number of small, rural counties, and extends from the Inner Banks to the Research Triangle. Both Davis, in his first term in congress, and Buckhout, a business owner, are veterans – Davis a captain in the Air Force and Buckhout a colonel in the Army. Using the current redistricted lines, President Biden would have won this district 50.4% to 47.6%. As of June 30 FEC reports, Davis had $2.6 million cash on hand; Buckhout had $600,000.
Ohio 9 – MARCY KAPTUR (D)* v. Derek Merrin. The district is located in the northwestern part of the state on Lake Erie, bordering on Indiana, Michigan and even Ontario and includes the cities of Toledo and Sandusky. It is one of only five districts in the country with a Democratic Representative that Trump would have won in 2020 under the current district lines. Marcy Kaptur is the longest-serving woman in congress, having first been elected in 1982. In 2022, she won with 56.6% of the vote, but with the state trending strongly red and the R+3 rating, Republicans think they have their best chance of defeating Kaptur in four decades. Observers see the district between a tossup and a Democratic lean. Merrin, who serves in the Ohio House of Representatives, was endorsed by Speaker Johnson and Trump in the Republican primary. As of June 30, Kaptur reported having $2.636 million on hand, to Merrin’s $408,000.
Ohio 13 – EMILIA SYKES (D)* v. Kevin Coughlin. Ohio 13 runs along the north/south corridor that includes Akron and Canton in the northeast section of the state. Following the 2020 census, the district was drawn to be a highly competitive swing district. Sykes, former minority leader in the Ohio House, was first elected to Congress in 2022 with 52.7% of the vote. Coughlin, a small business owner, was formerly a member of the State Senate. The district is considered slightly Republican, with an R+1 rating compared to national election results. As of June 30, Sykes had $2.369 cash on hand, while Coughlin had about $400,000.
Pennsylvania 7 – SUSAN WILD (D)* v. Ryan Mackenzie. Pennsylvania’s 7th district is highly competitive, and is targeted by both parties. Prior to 2018, when Wild was first elected, she was solicitor for Allentown; Mackenzie has been a member of the State House of Representatives, first elected in 2012. In 2022, Wild was reelected to Congress, defeating her Republican opponent 51.0% to 49.0%. The district is in the eastern part of the state, north of Philadelphia, encompassing Allentown, Bethlehem, Easton and Jim Thorpe. It is rated as an R+2 district, meaning that it has recently voted slightly more Republican than the rest of the country. Using the current district lines, President Biden would have beaten Trump 49.7% to 49.1% in 2020. Observers view this race as ranging between tossup and slightly Democratic. As of the June 30 reports, Wild had $3.855 million to Mackenzie’s $373,000.
Pennsylvania 8 – MATT CARTWRIGHT (D)* v. Rob Bresnahan, Jr. This district is one of five in the country held by a Democrat that voted for Trump in 2020, and is strongly Republican, rated as R+4. Cartwright was first elected in 2012, and has been reelected since, with several very close contests. Bresnahan is considered a strong Republican recruit, having been CEO of his family’s electrical contracting business. Pennsylvania 8 is located in the far northeast of the state, encompassing Wayne, Pike, and Lackawanna counties, including the cities of Scranton and Wilkes-Barre. Notwithstanding the Republican lean of the district, it is considered a tossup, with a slight Democratic tilt, recognizing Cartwright’s electoral record. As of the June 30 FEC reports, Cartwright had $4.539 million in the bank, while Bresnahan reported $1.225 million.
Washington 3 – MARIE GLUESENKAMP PEREZ (D)* v. Joe Kent. Washington 3 is located in the most southwestern part of the state, bordering on Oregon. This year’s contest is a rematch of the 2022 election that Gluesenkamp Perez won by 2,629 votes, 50.1% to 49.3%, and is one of the five districts in the country held by a Democrat that would have voted for Trump using the current district lines (50.8% to 46.6%). Notwithstanding the competitive House race (tossup to slight Republican advantage), this district is considered to have a significant Republican lean, rated as R+5 compared to the national electorate. As of July 17, Gluesenkamp Perez reported $3.825 million cash on hand, while Kemp’s report (as of August 21) showed cash on hand of $585,000.